Ethereum’s bearish U-turn? ETH worth momentum fades after $1.6K rejection


Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) tumbled on July 26, lowering hopes of an prolonged worth restoration. The ETH/USD pair dropped by roughly 5%, adopted by a modest rebound to over $1,550.

Ethereum will get rejected at $1,650 

These in a single day strikes liquidated over $80 million value of Ether positions within the final 24 hours, knowledge from CoinGlass reveals.

ETH/USD hourly worth chart. Supply: TradingView

The seesaw motion additionally revealed an underlying bias battle amongst merchants who’ve been caught between two extraordinarily reverse market fundamentals.

The primary is the euphoria surrounding Ethereum’s potential transition to proof-of-stake in September, which has helped Ether’s worth to recuperate 45% month-to-date.

Nevertheless, this bullish hype is at odds with macroeconomic headwinds, specifically the Federal Reserve’s and the European Central Financial institution’s hawkish stance, which put strain on danger belongings and noticed Ether worth shed 68% from its file excessive of $4,950 up to now.

However the brief time period might present some upside for ETH worth. As an illustration, analyst PostyXBT anticipates Ether to bear an interim upside retracement primarily based on the token’s current swings inside an ascending channel sample, as proven beneath.

ETH/USD four-hour worth chart that includes ascending channel setup. Supply: TradingView

In different phrases, ETH’s worth might hit $1,700 forward of July’s shut if the sample performs out.

Bearish divergence

Nonetheless, watching the identical restoration development at the side of Ether’s four-hour relative power index (RSI), a momentum oscillator indicator, exhibits excessive disparities.

Curiously, Ether’s worth has been forming larger highs since July 18, whereas its RSI has been making decrease highs concurrently.

That exhibits a bearish divergence between ETH’s worth and momentum, that means bulls have been shedding their grip in the marketplace, and a downtrend could observe.

ETH/USD four-hour worth chart that includes bearish divergence. Supply: TradingView

Ether additionally dangers breaking beneath its ascending channel’s decrease trendline, which coincides with two extra worth helps: the 50-4H exponential shifting common (50-4H EMA; the purple wave) at round $1,500 and the 0.5 Fib line close to $1,475.  

Associated: Will Ethereum Merge hopium proceed, or is it a bull lure?

Shedding these key helps would possible push beneath $1,350 (the $0.382 Fib line and the blue 200-4H EMA wave) in August, down 10%–15% from Ju’s worth, ought to this bearish state of affairs play out.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, you need to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.

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